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Bitcoin Price Drifts Slightly Lower as 2018 Draws to a Close
Bitcoin Price Drifts Slightly Lower as 2018 Draws to a Close
Published
3 days ago
on
December 31, 2018
By
Bitcoin drifted slightly lower on Monday and was poised to end the year below $4,000 after a promising rally at the end of last week. The slight dip in price was consistent across the entire market as trade volumes declined sharply.
The bitcoin price reached a session high of $3,986.90 on Bitfinex before consolidating just below $3,900. That was a significant premium compared to other exchanges, where BTC/USD was valued between $3,765-$3,780. At the time of writing, bitcoin was worth $3,766.18 on Coinbase.
Aggregate pricing data courtesy of CoinMarketCap show an average BTC value of $3,806.48, down 1.5% on the day. Exchange-traded volumes have also fallen to $4.7 billion from highs near $5.7 billion on Friday.
The leading digital currency briefly traded north of $4,000 late last week following a sudden burst of activity from the bulls. Prior to that rally, bitcoin and the broader crypto markets were mired in a multi-session downtrend.
While volatility is nothing new for bitcoin, the growth of the market over the past two years has magnified both gains and losses for the average investor. Extreme swings in price saw BTC reach a high near $17,600 in January and a low of around $3,100 in December. Compared to last year’s record high, bitcoin saw a peak-to-trough swing of nearly 85%.
The brutal selloff of November and December has received the most attention from investors because it followed a period of record stability for the digital currency. Bitcoin’s 30-day volatility index, which measures daily fluctuations in the spot price, fell in October to its lowest in nearly two years. Read more: Bitcoin Volatility Index Crashes to 22-Month Low. The sharp drop in volatility was also observed over longer time frames, including 12 days and 252 days, according to bitvol.info.
Despite claims to the contrary, the launch of bitcoin futures in December 2017 was positively correlated with the relative decline in volatility. This doesn’t mean bitcoin is no longer volatile; it merely suggests that institutional markets have had a hand in stabilizing the market. This was especially the case when bitcoin was priced near $6,000, a level that is widely associated with mining costs.
It remains to be seen whether the introduction of physically-settled bitcoin futures at the end of January will have a similar stabilizing effect. Intercontinental Exchange’s Bakkt trading platform is planning to release non-digital bitcoin futures with custody services on Jan. 24, pending regulatory approval. However, as Hacked recently reported, the launch date is likely to get pushed back further given the timeline for approvals by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). To learn more, read What is Bakkt? Preparing for the Physical Bitcoin Futures Market.
Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.
Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.
Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can’t afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.
Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
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4.6 stars on average, based on 720 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world’s foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam’s work has been featured in and cited by some of the world’s leading newscasts, including Barron’s, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi
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Bitcoin Price Runs Into Resistance on Ten-Year Anniversary of Genesis Block
Published
5 hours ago
on
January 3, 2019
By
Bitcoin’s rally moderated on Thursday, as price action approached a crucial resistance area that stands in the way of a bigger breakout attempt. A failure to break through will likely see a further consolidation in the short-term below the $4,000 region.
The bitcoin price edged up 0.8% to $3,877.79, according to CoinMarketCap. The leading digital currency has been trekking higher since Tuesday when the price briefly fell below $3,700.
According to CCN’s price tracker, bitcoin reached a session high of $3,986.12 on Thursday. It briefly traded above $4,000 on Wednesday.
In terms of technical barriers, bitcoin is eyeing immediate resistance in the mid-$3,900 region. A failure to breakout from the aforementioned level will likely see further consolidation in the bitcoin price, making any move north of $4,000 difficult to sustain. This area has become a significant psychological barrier in recent weeks despite several attempts to push through.
Trading activity has picked up since New Year’s Day, with trade volumes surpassing the $5 billion mark on Wednesday. Over the past 24 hours, bitcoin’s trading volumes were valued at $5.1 billion.
At current values, bitcoin is capitalized at $67.7 billion, which represents 51.4% of the overall cryptocurrency market cap.
Bitcoin officially turned ten years old on Thursday, a significant milestone for the controversial asset that quickly captivated mainstream audiences, both supporters and detractors alike. The first genesis block was mined on Jan. 3, 2009, less than three months after Satoshi Nakomoto released his wildly influential whitepaper Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System.
Despite being associated with elements of the criminal underworld, bitcoin has come to challenge our conception of value at a time when trust in central banking is at an all-time low. Once ignored by bankers and traditional financiers, bitcoin is now on the radar of almost every major financial institution.
Bitcoin still faces several major hurdles to achieving widespread acceptance as a store of value and unit of transaction. Recent developments on the regulatory and securitization fronts suggests BTC is closer to being accepted as an asset class by traditional investors. Investors can expect at least two more bitcoin futures markets to be launched this year. Efforts to introduce the first U.S.-regulated bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) are also ramping up, with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) set to deliver a landmark verdict next month.
Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.
Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.
Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can’t afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.
Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
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4.6 stars on average, based on 720 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world’s foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam’s work has been featured in and cited by some of the world’s leading newscasts, including Barron’s, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi
Bitcoin’s Price Shows Stabilizing Potential After Five Months in the Red
Published
1 day ago
on
January 2, 2019
By
Bitcoin’s price held in positive territory on Wednesday, as the leading digital currency carved out a more stable trading range following one of its worst periods in seven years. The leading digital currency continues to trade below $4,000, which has become a significant psychological resistance.
The bitcoin price held above $3,800 on most major exchanges. At the time of writing, it was valued near $3,810 on Coinbase and Bitstamp. A $140 premium was observed on Bitfinex, where BTC/USD was valued at $3,952.
Aggregate data courtesy of CoinMarketCap show an average price of $3,850.43, a gain of 2.2% on the day. The move higher follows consecutive days of negative price action that pushed BTC values south of $3,700. According to CCN’s bitcoin tracker, the leading digital currency notched a session high of $3,983.43. The price must clear $4,000 to break from the descending pattern and attack vital resistance areas above $4,300.
In terms of market activity, bitcoin saw daily trade volumes of $4.6 billion, a notable improvement over New Year’s Day. With a market cap of $67.2 billion, bitcoin accounts for 51.2% of the overall market.
Over the past five days, bitcoin’s price has returned just 0.4%, which reflects more predictable trading patterns following massive swings in both directions. Prior to the selloff that engulfed the market in mid-November, bitcoin’s volatility index had fallen to the lowest level in 22 months.
Bitcoin’s value fell by 11% in December, its fifth straight month in the red. The leading digital currency lost more than a third of its value in November, marking one of the worst stretches in history.
While bitcoin has carved out a more stable trading range since falling to consecutive yearly lows, bearish risks continue to lurk in the shadow. There isn’t much in the way of fundamental drivers at the moment, though traders are keeping tabs on a keenly awaited bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) proposal.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission next month is expected to deliver a ruling on the VanEck SolidX Bitcoin Trust. Although the agency has rejected dozens of bitcoin ETFs already, its ruling on the VanEck product could have major implications on the market.
Until then, technical forces will continue to dictate market flows. Price action in recent weeks suggests that bitcoin has established a new price floor near $3,100. However, some community leaders like Anthony Pompliano believe that a drop below $3,000 is likely at some point in the near future. The founder of Morgan Creek Digital remains strongly bullish on bitcoin’s long-term potential but believes further downside is in the cards. Read more: No FOMO: Bitcoin Price Under Pressure as Bullish Optimism Fades.
Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.
Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.
Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can’t afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.
Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
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You need to be a registered member to rate this.
4.6 stars on average, based on 720 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world’s foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam’s work has been featured in and cited by some of the world’s leading newscasts, including Barron’s, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi
Bitcoin Marks New Year With Slight Decline; Mining Difficulty Rises for the First Time Since October
Published
2 days ago
on
January 1, 2019
By
Bitcoin’s price edged lower on New Year’s Day, as trading volumes continued to decline in the wake of another failed rally attempt north of $4,000. Bitcoin’s mining difficulty has adjusted higher for the first time in nearly three months as the network’s hash rate stemmed its decline.
The bitcoin price has continued lower over the past 24 hours, falling below $3,700 on most major exchanges. At the time of writing, BTC/USD was valued at around $3,690 on Coinbase, Bitstamp and Bittrex. It traded at a $140 premium on Bitfinex, where the price could be seen at $3,834.
Aggregate data courtesy of CoinMarketCap show an average price of $3,735.84, down 1.7% on the day.
Bitcoin’s trading volume has declined sharply since Friday, which marked the last rally attempt for the leading digital currency. Trade volumes surpassed $5.7 billion at the end of last week as prices clawed back above $4,000 briefly. However, volumes have since declined by 28% to $4.2 billion.
While the bulk of trading activity continues to be held on BitMEX, the exchange’s share of total turnover has declined sharply since the height of the selloff in early December. As of Tuesday, BitMEX had processed more than 13% of bitcoin’s exchange-based volume, down from a high of more than 40% during the bear market.
Bitcoin continues to face strong resistance at $4,000, followed by the $4,200-$4,500 region (the latter represents the trading range from the most recent breakout attempt that also faltered).
For the first time since early October, bitcoin’s mining difficulty has adjusted higher, a sign that miners were deploying more hash power into the network. Bitcoin’s mining difficulty rose nearly 3% last week after plunging 31.5% over the previous three-month stretch. As Hacked reported last month, there doesn’t appear to be a comparable drop in mining difficulty over the years, which reflects the severity of the recent bear market trend.
The following chart, courtesy of Blockchain.com, highlights the extent of the recent skid.
At the same time, the network’s hash rate has reversed its decline following a prolonged downtrend (once again, data courtesy of Blockchain.com):
The network’s hash rate increased 35% in December to 43,291,797 TH/s. That’s still well below the August peak of 61,8866,256 TH/s.
Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusted lower in the fourth quarter following the sudden collapse in price that triggered a mass exodus from the digital currency space. The combined market cap of all cryptocurrencies fell to a low of around $100.4 billion before staging a recovery in the latter half of December. In the process, millions of bitcoin mining rigs were shut down. Read more courtesy of CCN: Bitcoin Mining Industry ‘Under Considerable Stress,’ 1.3 Million Devices Switched Off.
Since bottoming near $3,100, bitcoin’s price has recovered more than 20%. Bearish pressures are expected to persist for the foreseeable future as investors assess the latest regulatory and institutional developments.
Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.
Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.
Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can’t afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.
Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
(0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
4.6 stars on average, based on 720 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world’s foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam’s work has been featured in and cited by some of the world’s leading newscasts, including Barron’s, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi
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Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.
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